A perennial MVP-level interior scorer with one of the steadiest stat profiles in the league. Wilson's combination of scoring volume, rebounding, and shot-blocking makes her a fixture in combo and Fantasy Score markets.
| Prop | PrizePicks Line | L5 Over | L10 Over | Underdog Line | L5 Over | L10 Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.5 | 80% | 70% | 28.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Rebounds | 18.5 | 0% | 0% | 10.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Assists | 6.5 | 0% | 10% | 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
| 3-PT Made | 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Fantasy Score | 59 | 0% | 10% | 53.55 | 0% | 10% |
| Pts+Asts | 44.5 | 0% | 0% | 31.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Pts+Rebs | 54.5 | 0% | 0% | 39.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Pts+Rebs+Asts | 60.5 | 0% | 0% | 42.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Rebs+Asts | 21.5 | 0% | 0% | 13.5 | 20% | 30% |
Points and rebounds lines are set high but her minutes floor keeps hit rates researchable. Blocks at 3x weighting make her Fantasy Score lines friendlier than her raw points line on tough defensive matchups.
Hit rates look backward. Our WNBA player projections estimate today's expected output from matchup, pace, and role — when the projection and the hit rate agree on a direction, the pick has two independent signals. See how our projections work.
Blowout risk trims star minutes and schedule congestion drags efficiency. The WNBA game model projects pace and totals for every matchup — pace scales every counting stat on this page.
When the PrizePicks and Underdog columns above show different numbers, take the better one for your direction. Platform guides: WNBA PrizePicks · WNBA Underdog.
Yes — PrizePicks posts A'ja Wilson lines on most game days, typically covering points, rebounds, assists, combo stats, and Fantasy Score. Underdog Fantasy lists similar markets, often at slightly different numbers.
The L5 and L10 columns show how often A'ja Wilson has cleared the current posted line over the last 5 and last 10 games. They are historical rates against today's number — a research signal, not a prediction.
The platforms set lines independently. A half-point or full-point gap on the same stat is common, and taking the better number for your direction is one of the simplest edges in props research.
Start with the hit rate at the posted line, confirm the direction with a model projection for today's matchup, then check pace, opponent defense, and rest. Only enter picks where multiple signals agree.
Free season-long hit rates on every PrizePicks and Underdog line, plus pro projections, prop simulations, and daily top plays.