An MVP-caliber two-way forward with elite efficiency and a defensive stat profile the market often underprices. Collier contributes in every category without needing high usage nights.
| Prop | PrizePicks Line | L5 Over | L10 Over | Underdog Line | L5 Over | L10 Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.5 | 20% | 30% | 17.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 60% | 70% | 7.5 | 0% | 30% |
| Assists | 2.5 | 40% | 30% | 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
| 3-PT Made | 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Fantasy Score | 36 | 40% | 30% | 36.55 | 0% | 20% |
| Pts+Asts | 21.5 | 20% | 20% | 21.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Pts+Rebs | 26 | 20% | 20% | 25.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Pts+Rebs+Asts | 29 | 20% | 20% | 28.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Rebs+Asts | 10 | 20% | 30% | 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Points and rebounds are the core lines, but her steals output at 3x fantasy weighting makes Fantasy Score a frequent value spot. Her consistency shows up in strong 10-game hit rates.
Hit rates look backward. Our WNBA player projections estimate today's expected output from matchup, pace, and role — when the projection and the hit rate agree on a direction, the pick has two independent signals. See how our projections work.
Blowout risk trims star minutes and schedule congestion drags efficiency. The WNBA game model projects pace and totals for every matchup — pace scales every counting stat on this page.
When the PrizePicks and Underdog columns above show different numbers, take the better one for your direction. Platform guides: WNBA PrizePicks · WNBA Underdog.
Yes — PrizePicks posts Napheesa Collier lines on most game days, typically covering points, rebounds, assists, combo stats, and Fantasy Score. Underdog Fantasy lists similar markets, often at slightly different numbers.
The L5 and L10 columns show how often Napheesa Collier has cleared the current posted line over the last 5 and last 10 games. They are historical rates against today's number — a research signal, not a prediction.
The platforms set lines independently. A half-point or full-point gap on the same stat is common, and taking the better number for your direction is one of the simplest edges in props research.
Start with the hit rate at the posted line, confirm the direction with a model projection for today's matchup, then check pace, opponent defense, and rest. Only enter picks where multiple signals agree.
Free season-long hit rates on every PrizePicks and Underdog line, plus pro projections, prop simulations, and daily top plays.